In a repeat of the championship game from the previous season, the defending champion UConn Huskies will try to maintain their winning streak when they play the San Diego State Aztecs on Thursday at Boston’s TD Garden. With nine consecutive victories and 23 of their previous 24 games under their belt, the top-seeded Huskies (33-3) advance to the Sweet 16 of the 2024 NCAA Tournament. In the 2024 NCAA Tournament, UConn has won by an average of 28.0 points per game. The No. 5 seed Aztecs (26-10) will be seeking retribution for their defeat to UConn in the national championship game of the previous season. For a chance to advance to the Final Four, the victor from Thursday will play either Illinois or Iowa State on Saturday.
The game is set to begin at 7:39 p.m. ET. According to SportsLine consensus, the Huskies are favored by 11.5 points over San Diego State. The total number of points scored is 136.5, with an over/under of 11.5. You should go at the SportsLine Projection Model’s college basketball analysis before making any choices regarding San Diego State vs. UConn.
10,000 simulations of every Division I college basketball game are run by the model. With a 152-109 record on all of the highest-rated college basketball choices going back to the previous season, it heads into the Sweet 16 stage of the 2024 NCAA tournament and has returned more than $1,800 for $100 players. It has also predicted 13 Sweet 16 teams this year and has a solid 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread selections this season. Anyone who has followed it has made significant profits.
The model has recently locked in its March Madness predictions and now has its eyes set on UConn vs. San Diego State. Visit SportsLine right now to see the model’s selections. For San Diego State vs. UConn, here are a few college basketball odds, betting lines, and trends:
• San Diego State vs Connecticut spread: Huskies -11.5
• Over/under for Connecticut vs. San Diego State: 136.5 points
• The money line for Connecticut vs. San Diego State is Huskies -762, Aztecs +525
• UCONN: With a +17.7 point per game scoring advantage, the Huskies are ranked second in the nation.
• SDSU: With a field goal percentage defense of 40.3, the Aztecs rank 15th in the nation.
• Selections for UCLA vs. San Diego State can be found on SportsLine.
Why UConn is able to
The combination of Tristen Newton and Cam Spencer on the Huskies may be the greatest backcourt in the nation. Leading the team in scoring (15.3) and assists (6.2) per game, Newton is a first-team All-American. In the meanwhile, Spencer is second on the squad in scoring (14.4) and leads the team in thefts (1.42 per game). In addition, Spencer’s 3-point percentage of 44.0% is seventh in the nation.
UConn has also played outstanding defense the whole season. The Huskies are 12th in the country and top the Big East with their defensive efficiency of 63.9 points per game. The Huskies are sixth in Division I with a defensive effectiveness rating modified by Ken Pomeroy of 93.5 points allowed per 100 possessions.
The reasons San Diego State is able to
Senior Jaedon LeDee of the Aztecs is among the finest scorers in the country. The 6-foot-9 big shoots 56.4% from the floor and scores 21.5 points per game, which puts him in 10th place nationally in scoring. He is averaging 29.0 points and 8.5 rebounds through two NCAA Tournament games. He is hitting 100.0% on 3-pointers (3 of 3) and 83.3% from the foul line (15 of 18) in addition to 66.7% from the field (20 of 30). He was twice selected as a second-team All-American for his season-long accomplishments.
Furthermore, San Diego State’s defense is capable of overwhelming UConn’s offensive. The Aztecs are 27th in the nation in points allowed per game and 28th in 3-point shooting percentage allowed to opponents. They are ranked 26th in effective field goal percentage defense (47.1) by KenPom.
How to choose teams for San Diego State vs. UConn
According to SportsLine’s model, the teams will score 143 points combined, with a bias towards the over. Additionally, according to the model, in more than 50% of simulations, one side of the spread hits.
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