On Saturday, the No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide will face the South Florida Bulls in a non-conference game. Alabama won the only previous meeting between the programmes in 2003, and the game will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. Alabama is 1-1 this season after falling to Texas 34-24 a week ago, while the Crimson Tide were 11-2 in 2022. USF is also 1-0 to start the 2023 season under new head coach Alex Golesh, having defeated Florida A&M last week. After starting the first two games of the season, Alabama will allegedly turn to Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner at quarterback.
The Crimson Tide are 34-point favourites for this 3:30 p.m. ET start, according to SportsLine. In the most recent Alabama vs. South Florida odds, the total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, or the over/under, is 61. Before making any USF vs. Alabama predictions, check out SportsLine’s proven computer model’s college football predictions and betting recommendations.
Every FBS college football game is 10,000 times simulated by the SportsLine Projection Model. The proprietary computer model has earned a remarkable profit of almost $2,500 for $100 gamblers on its top-rated college football selections against the spread since its start. Anyone who has followed the model has experienced massive profits.
The algorithm is now focused on Alabama vs. USF and has just delivered its choices and forecasts. You can check the model’s CFB choices on SportsLine right now. The following are some college football odds and trends for USF vs. Alabama:
• Alabama -34 vs. South Florida spread
•Over/under for Alabama vs. South Florida: 61 points
• Money line for Alabama vs. South Florida: Alabama -10000, USF +2500
•Alabama: Since the start of the 2022 season, the Crimson Tide are 7-7-1 against the spread.
• USF: Since the start of the 2022 season, the Bulls are 5-9 against the spread.
•Alabama vs. South Florida picks: See SportsLine for choices.
• Watch Alabama vs. South Florida live on fubo (free trial).
Why Alabama is capable of covering
The Bulls defeated Florida A&M last week, but South Florida is on a 17-game losing run versus FBS opponents. USF has only 1-34 in their previous 35 games versus FBS institutions, and the Bulls had the country’s worst defence in 2022. Last season, the Bulls allowed the most total yards (516.6 per game) of any FBS team, while USF allowed 41.2 points per game.
In 2022, opponents completed 73% of their throws, averaging 9.0 yards per attempt, while USF gave 6.1 yards per run attempt. So far in 2023, the Bulls have allowed 355.0 passing yards per game, including 8.6 yards per pass attempt, paving the way for Buchner’s first start. Alabama, on the other hand, regularly pulls in elite-tier talent, and the Crimson Tide have an interesting X-factor on special teams. Not only is Alabama athletic and deep across the board, but it also leads the FBS with 50.3 net yards per punt this season. Check out which team to choose here.
Why can South Florida cover
The defence of South Florida has been active to begin the 2023 season. In last week’s triumph, the Bulls had five turnovers, the most for the programme since 2019, and opponent offences are averaging just 74.0 running yards per game and 2.8 yards per rush attempt in 2023. On the other hand, Alabama has struggled on the ground by conventional metrics, averaging just 4.2 yards per rush this season and 3.1 yards per run against Texas.
On offence, quarterback Byrum Brown leads the team with eight total touchdowns, which also ranks first in the AAC after two games. Brown leads the AAC with 183 running yards this season and leads a team that averages 31.0 points per game in 2023. South Florida leads the AAC with 241.0 running yards per game, resulting in well over 400 total yards per game, whereas Alabama gave up 454 yards to Texas last week. In that game, the Crimson Tide also committed 10 expensive penalties and allowed the Longhorns 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Check out which team to choose here.